Thursday forecast update

Yesterday I highlighted the risk of severe storms that could effect us this afternoon. That risk is still there, although it is a very tricky forecast, and what we see will depend on some key factors. The HRRR shows a large swath of storms over Connecticut at around 7 p.m. tonight (see below) - some of which will be severe. I think the fist of the severe weather will be at around 2 or 2:30 this afternoon.

HRRR at 7 p.m. (Tropical Tidbits)

The map below shows the warm front moving northeast into our region today. The movement and timing of that front will be the key factor that determines what type of weather we see this afternoon.

National forecast chart (NWS)

The further northeast the warm front moves, the greater our threat for severe weather will be. It is a tricky forecast today, and we may not see much in the way of severe weather. As always, it'll be important to stay weather aware and to keep your eyes to the sky.

On a completely different note, winter is coming! Mount Washington saw its first dusting of snow overnight as temperatures dipped below 30 °F.

Mount Washington on August 27th (Mount Washington Observatory)