Wednesday, August 26, 2020

Severe weather threat tomorrow

Good afternoon! Today has been a spectacular day with cooler temperatures, a nice breeze throughout the day, and much less humid air then we've come to expect this summer. I would call today an A+ summer day as far as the weather in New England goes. That'll likely change tomorrow.

But before discussing tomorrow's severe weather threat, I'd be remiss to not mention hurricane Laura, which is set to bring catastrophic damage to the gulf coast states.

(NHC)

When the National Weather Service uses language like "unsurvivable storm surge" and "catastrophic damage" you know Laura will be a memorable hurricane. If anyone is reading from the eastern Texas/ Louisiana area, be sure to take any necessary precautions and stay weather aware. Keep updated with all the latest information from the National Hurricane Center at its website.


Moving on to our region, it's looking like tomorrow will be a wild weather day.

Day 2 convective outlook (NWS)

With an enhanced risk for southern New England, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is indicating that "damaging winds and large hail should be the main threats, though a few tornadoes are also possible". In fact, the SPC indicates that much of the region has a 5% chance of seeing a tornado within 25 miles, which is quite high for here in New England.

Day 2 tornado outlook (NWS)

Hail is another big threat for tomorrow. The hatched area in the map below indicates areas that have a 25% or greater chance of seeing hail at least 2 inches in diameter within 25 miles. Two inch hail is larger than golf ball sized hail, and it can do significant damage.

Day 2 hail outlook (NWS)

The last big threat for tomorrow is wind. I'd suspect that areas that do see storms will experience winds that approach 60 mph, which can cause significant damage.

Day 2 wind outlook (NWS)

Timing for the brunt of the severe weather tomorrow will be in the afternoon hours between 1 and 6 p.m. I cannot guarantee that every town will see storms tomorrow, but those that do will likely see a significant one. It'll be important to remain vigilant tomorrow and stay weather aware. I'll have an update in the morning if any more information about the severe weather threat develops.

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