Saturday, August 29, 2020

Drought update + How are things trending?

Happy Saturday! 

If you're reading from CT, I hope you stayed safe during the severe weather on Thursday. A confirmed EF-1 tornado with 110 mph winds touched down in Bethany at 3:53 p.m. and travelled 11.1 miles to North Haven in 10 minutes. This tornado caused significant damage and many lost power. Interestingly, on the Fujita scale that measures the strength of tornadoes, an EF-2 tornado has winds that range from 111 to 135 mph, so this tornado just barely missed being classified as an EF-2. (The scale ranges from EF-0 to EF-5, with EF-5 tornadoes having winds in excess of 200 mph).

I wanted to write a quick post updating on the state of the drought in New England and what type of weather we can expect over the next few weeks.
(National Drought Mitigation Center)

This map, valid through August 25th, shows that some areas in New England, including CT, RI, MA, NH, and ME, are now in a severe drought. This drought map does not account for rain that fell on Thursday as well as rain that we can expect tomorrow from the remnants of Hurricane Laura. Drought conditions will likely persist, but it'll be interesting to see if they'll be alleviated at all.

8-14 day precipitation outlook (NWS/CPC)

Signs over the next few weeks show that we may begin to see less dry conditions. The above 8-14 day precipitation outlook from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) indicates that conditions will be favorable for above average precipitation. 

As for temperatures, it looks like we'll stay on the warmer side.

8-14 day temperature outlook (NWS/CPC)

The CPC's 8-14 day temperature outlook indicates a large trough that could form in the midwest, which will cause temperatures to be below average there. However, the CPC is indicating that temperatures will be slightly above average for early September here in New England.


Last note: I have moved back into Middlebury College in VT, so this blog will shift its focus towards northern New England. I will continue to cover Connecticut as well, but much of the coverage will be on the North Country.

1 comment: