Wet Week Ahead

This fall has been spectacular here in Vermont, with plenty of cool, crisp days and abundant sunshine. Unfortunately, (and fortunately for lessening drought conditions) that's to change this week as we enter an active stretch of weather. October is generally one of the drier months of the year, and this year we've seen near normal precipitation so far. Last year, though, we had one of our wettest Octobers on record due to a large Halloween storm.

Looking at the weather models, things take a turn towards more unsettled conditions, and we'll have a fairly rainy week.

(NWS)

The above hourly precipitation forecast shows chances for rain from now until Wednesday morning. That does not mean it will continuously rain between now and Wednesday, but it's a good bet that we'll see some precipitation in that time frame.

National forecast chart (NWS/NOAA)

The rain that we'll see today will occur as a result of a slow moving cold front that'll pass through our region. With lots of cloud cover and the cold front moving through, expect temperatures to not rise much past the low 50s. The GFS has rain beginning in the late afternoon hours, and continuing overnight.

Monday GFS (Tropical Tidbits)

Expect a break in the action by Tuesday afternoon.

Tuesday GFS (Tropical Tidbits)

Again on Wednesday, there are more chances for precipitation, though I expect the bulk of the heaviest rain to fall to our north across the Canadian border.

Wednesday GFS (Tropical Tidbits)

Enjoy the week - not every day will be a washout. We will see some rain, but there will be plenty of breaks in the action for you to enjoy any outdoor pursuits.