Sunday, October 11, 2020

Very cool air after a warmup this week

Happy Sunday everyone!

It was simply a spectacular day here in Addison County, with temperatures in the 50s and not a cloud in the sky. I took advantage of the beautiful weather by getting in a nice hike at Mt. Horrid.


It was a nice hike and this was my first time ever on Mt. Horrid. The hike is a quick 1.6 mile round trip that follows the Long Trail from the top of Brandon Gap, and the views certainly did not disappoint. I'd say we are just past peak fall foliage here in Vermont (especially at elevation), so I'd imagine the views would have been even more spectacular than they were today just a few weeks ago.

We'll see more typical weather for the start of the work week with cool temperatures and sunny skies, before we see a warm up this week, culminating in an warm day on Thursday.
GFS 2-m temperatures for Thursday (Tropical Tidbits)

On Thursday, look for temperatures in the upper 60s here in Vermont, though it would not shock me if some spots reached 70 °F. It'll be sunny and warm - Thursday is the choice day for any outdoor activities this week. After that, things we'll cool down for the near future.

GFS 2-m temperature anomiolies (Tropical Tidbits)

In the above 2-m temperature anomaly graphic extending out to ten days from now, we see plenty of cold air in place for most of the time (the blues and purples signify cooler air). The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) mostly agrees with the GFS model in its 6-10 day outlook, as it suggests that cooler than normal temperatures will be experienced in the midwest.

6-10 Day Temperature Outlook (CPC)

There may be some additional model biases that the CPC is considering when it predicts warmer than normal temperatures for much of New England, though I'm not sure how the CPC creates its forecasts. I do think we can expect some cooler temperatures by this weekend, though!

Have a great work week!

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